Jets vs Bills

1-6 NY Jets at home vs division rival Buffalo Bills 4-3 favored by 3. First time a one win team this deep into the season has been favored over a team with winning record ever!! Seems like Vegas is begging you to take the Bills. Bills coming off a last second win with a natural let down due coming into the bye.
Traditionally these two play each other close so the 3 is dead on but I feel like Buffalo is the better team, veteran defense, veteran QB with accurate arm but an offense without two of its biggest stars in Jackson/Spiller. Jets are struggling on D, Rex clearly doesn't trust his DBs. On tape gives them help over the top on all plays. Geno plays based on his confidence. Get to him early, game over (ie: San diego). Look for Rex to slow the game down with heavy run and lot of looks to TEs. Bills LB core struggles to cover athletic TE's like Amaro.

All my instincts tells me to take the Jets at home. But I can't seem to pull the trigger. What do you boys think?

You are spot on. I see ppl playing jets heavy. Lets see what happens with line movements on Sunday. Good catch and analysis

I like the Jets. Will be a play, just figuring out how much.

Bills w/o their two running backs against a top run defense forcing the game on Orton's shoulders is not a recipe for success.

Not that Spiller/Jackson are irreplaceable but the Bills offense will be hard pressed to move the ball.

The angle I do not like against the Jets is what do they have to really play for? Losing to the Pats in a heartbreaker is more or less their season so this can be a letdown spot.

Not certain of trends, but the question is can Ryan keep his team motivated? The trade for Harvin might keep spirits up.

How much are bettors overvaluing the addition of Harvin? Harvin isn't very useful when Geno Smith is your QB and Percy doesn't know the playbook.